Publications
Books
2022. David S. Siroky, Valery Dzutsati and Lenka Bustikova, Defection Denied: A Study of Civilian Support for Insurgency in Irregular War, Cambridge Elements Series in Experimental Political Science. Cambridge University Press. [link]
N.d. Nicholas Sambanis and David S. Siroky, Predicting Secession: Means, Motives and Mobilization, Cambridge Elements Series in Political Economy. Cambridge University Press. (Under contract) [link]
N.d. Erin Jenne, Milos Popovic and David S. Siroky, Clients, Rivals and Rogues: Three Logics of Great Power Side-taking in Revolutionary Civil Wars, Cambridge University Press. (Under contract)
Articles
2023. Christopher W. Hale and David S. Siroky, Irredentism, Ethnicity and Institutions, British Journal of Political Science, 53(5), 498-515. [link, pdf]
2023. Emil Souleimanov, David S. Siroky and Roberto Colombo, Blood Revenge in Civil War: Proof of Concept, Security Studies, 32(1), 101- 136. [link, pdf] [short essay for Modern War Institute, West Point, USA]
2023. Nino Imedashvili and David S. Siroky, 'Tit-for-Tat: Russia-NATO Interactions in Eastern Europe, Caucasus Survey, 11(2-3), 163-189. [link, pdf]
2022. David S. Siroky, Emil Aslan Souleimanov, Jean-Francois Ratelle and Milos Popovic, Purifying the Religion: An Analysis of Haram Targeting among Salafi Jihadi Groups, Comparative Politics, 54(3): [link] [pdf]
2022. Emil Aslan Souleimanov, David S. Siroky and Peter Krause, Kin Killing: Why Governments Target Family Members in Insurgency and When it Works, Security Studies, 31(2) [link, pdf] [Essay at Modern War Institute, West Point, USA]
2021. David S. Siroky, Milos Popovic and Nikola Mirilovic, "Unilateral Secession, Great Power Contestation and International Recognition," Journal of Peace Research, 58(5): 1049-1067 [link] [pdf]
2021. David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller, Andre Fazi and Michael Hechter, Containing Nationalism: Culture, Economics and Indirect Rule in Corsica, Comparative Political Studies, 54(6): 1023-1057. [link] [pdf]
2021. Nikola Mirilovic and David S. Siroky, International Recognition, Religion and the Status of Western Sahara, Acta Politica, 56: 548 - 566. [link] [pdf]
2020. David Aprasidze and David S. Siroky, Technocratic Populism in Hybrid Regimes, Politics and Governance, 8(4): 580-589. [link] [pdf]
2020. David S. Siroky, Carolyn Warner, Gabrielle Crawford, Anna Berlin and Steven Neuberg, Grievances and Rebellion: Comparing Relative Deprivation and Horizontal Inequality, Conflict Management and Peace Science, 37(6): 694-715. [link] [pdf]
2020. Lenka Bustikova, David S. Siroky, Saud Alashri, and Sultan Alzahari, Predicting Partisan Responsiveness: A New Probabilistic Time Series Text Mining Approach, Political Analysis, 28(1): 47-64. [link] [pdf]
2019. Giorgi Gvalia, Bidzina Lebanidze and David S. Siroky, Neoclassical Realism and Small States: Systemic Constraints and Domestic Filters in Georgia's Foreign Policy, East European Politics, 35(1): 21-51. [link] [pdf]
2019. Emil Aslan Souleimanov, Namig Abbasov and David S. Siroky, Frankenstein in Grozny: Cracks in the Foundation of Kadyrov's Rule, Europe Asia Journal, 24(2): 226-243. [link] [pdf]
2018. Namig Abbasov and David S. Siroky , Joining the Club: Explaining Alliance Preferences in the South Caucasus, Caucasus Survey, 6(3): 252-267. [link] [pdf]
2017. David S. Siroky and Christopher W. Hale, Inside Irredentism: A Global Empirical Analysis, American Journal of Political Science, 61(1): 117-128. [link] [pdf]
2017. David S. Siroky, Alan J. Simmons and Giorgi Gvalia, Bourbon or Vodka? Foreign Policy Preferences toward Russia and the US in Georgia, Foreign Policy Analysis, 13(2): 500-518. [link] [pdf]
2017. Petra Guasti, David S. Siroky and Daniel Stockemer, Judgment without Justice: On the Efficacy of the European Human Rights Regime, Democratization, 24(2): 226-243. [link] [pdf]
2017. Nikola Mirilović and David S. Siroky, International Recognition and Religion: A Quantitative Analysis of Kosovo's Contested Status, International Interactions, 43(4): 668-687. [link] [pdf]
2017. David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller and Michael Hechter, Cultural Legacies and Political Preferences: The Failure of Separatism in the Swiss Jura, European Political Science Review, 9(2): 303-327. [link] [pdf]
2016. David S. Siroky, Sean Mueller and Michael Hechter, Centre-Periphery Bargaining in the Age of Democracy, Swiss Political Science Review, 22(4): 439-453. [link] [pdf]
2016. Emil Aslan Souleimanov and David S. Siroky, Random or Retributive? Indiscriminate Violence in the Chechen Wars, World Politics, 68(4): 677-712. [link] [pdf]
2016. Valery Dzutsati, David S. Siroky and Khasan Dzutsev, The Political Economy of Support for Sharia, Politics and Religion, 9(4): 695-719. [link] [pdf]
2016. David S. Siroky and Michael Hechter, Ethnicity, Class and Civil War: The Role of Hierarchy, Segmentation and Crosscutting Cleavages, Civil Wars, 18(1): 91-107. [link] [pdf]
2016. David Muchlinski, David S. Siroky, Jingrui He and Matthew Kocher, Comparing Random Forest with Logistic Regression for Predicting Class-Imbalanced Civil War Onset Data, Political Analysis, 24(1): 87-103. [link] [pdf]
2016. David S. Siroky, The Sources of Secessionist War: The Interaction of Local Control and Foreign Forces in Post-Soviet Georgia, Caucasus Survey, 4(1): 63-91. [link] [pdf]
2016. David S. Siroky and Ceyhun Mahmudlu, E Pluribus Unum? Ethnicity, Islam and the Construction of Identity in Azerbaijan, Problems of Post-Communism, 63(2): 94-107. [link] [pdf]
2015. David S. Siroky and Valeriy Dzutsev, The Empire Strikes Back: Ethnicity, Terrain and Indiscriminate Violence in Counterinsurgencies, Social Science Quarterly, 96(3): 807-829. [link] [pdf]
2015. Saud Al-Ashri, Sultan Alzahrani, Lenka Bustikova, David S. Siroky and Hasan Davulcu, What Animates Political Debates? Analyzing Ideological Perspectives between Opposing Parties, Proceedings of the ASE/IEEE International Conference on Social Computing, (SocialCom-15), Stanford, CA. [link] [pdf]
2015. Nikola Mirilović and David S. Siroky, Two States in the Holy Land? International Recognition and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict, Politics and Religion, 8(2): 263-285. [link] [pdf]
2015. David S. Siroky and John Cuffe, Lost Autonomy, Nationalism and Separatism, Comparative Political Studies, 48(1): 3-34. [link] [pdf]
2014. David S. Siroky and Hans-Joerg Sigwart, Principle and Prudence: Rousseau on Private Property and Inequality, Polity, 46(3): 381-406. [link] [pdf]
2014. Idean Salehyan, David S. Siroky and Reed Wood, External Rebel Sponsorship and Civilian Abuse: A Principal Agent Analysis of Wartime Atrocities, International Organization, 68(3): 633-661. [link] [pdf]
2013. David S. Siroky, Valeriy Dzutsev and Michael Hechter, The Differential Demand for Indirect Rule: Evidence from the North Caucasus, Post-Soviet Affairs, 29(3): 268-286. [link] [pdf]
2013. Giorgi Gvalia, David S. Siroky, Bidzina Lebanidze and Zurab Iashvili, Thinking Outside the Bloc: Explaining the Foreign Policies of Small States, Security Studies, 22(1): 98-131. [link] [pdf]
2012. David S. Siroky and Valeriy Dzutsev, Rational or Reckless? Georgia's Zugzwang in the Caucasus, Nationalities Papers, 40(3): 303-314. [link] [pdf]
2012. David S. Siroky, Each Man for Himself? Rival Theories of Alliance Economics in the Early State System, Defence and Peace Economics, 23(4): 321-330. [link] [pdf]
2012. Jason Guss and David S. Siroky, Living with Heterogeneity: Bridging the Ethnic Divide in Bosnia and Beyond, Comparative Sociology, 11(3): 304-324. [link] [pdf]
2011. David S. Siroky and Davit Aprasidze, Guns, Roses and Democratization: Huntington's Secret Admirer in the Caucasus, Democratization, 18(6): 1227-1245. [link] [pdf]
2010. Davit Aprasidze and David S. Siroky, Frozen Transitions and Unfrozen Conflicts, Yale Journal of International Affairs, 5: 121-136. [link] [pdf]
2009. David S. Siroky, Navigating Random Forests and Advances in Algorithmic Modeling, Statistics Surveys, 3: 147-163. [link] [pdf]